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Sunday, February 19, 2012

Ehh Buddy...Uhh The Gold Rally Ain't Over

Gold 12 Year Chart 2.18.12

It takes time and patience for continuation patterns to play out.  Many traders grow frustrated, especially after the stealth move higher ends because of the time involved for continuation patterns to form.  The current bull market in gold has lasted more than a decade and there are few technical signs of it ending now.  First, let's take a look at a 12 year weekly chart to step back and grasp the overall picture.


You can see from the blue circles above that every "stealth" move higher has been followed by a longer than usual consolidation period.  And that makes sense. There needs to be a cleansing period where a whole new group of longs participate as weaker hands let go of their positions.  The other technical observation is that the current consolidation phase has allowed a VERY stretched MACD to move back down to test its centerline.  This means that gold's 12 week EMA essentially equaled its 26 week EMA.  A lot of the overbought conditions have been relieved.  Another observation is that every time gold has seen its weekly RSI dip beneath 50 and its weekly stochastic fall to 20 or below, that combination has resulted in a very strong buy signal. . . .


http://blogs.stockcharts.com/chartwatchers/2012/02/the-bullish-move-in-gold-isnt-over.html

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