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Saturday, November 10, 2012

Golden


Gold (priced in Swiss Francs) has begun the next leg of its bull trend

As many of you know I use the Gold/Swiss Franc ratio as a leading indicator of the price of Gold. This indicator can be used to trade Gold against the U.S. Dollar or directly against the Swiss Franc in a USD-neutral trade.
The monthly, weekly and daily charts of the Gold/CHF ratio conclude the following:
  • The longest-term trend (monthly) remains solidly up
  • The medium-term trend (weekly) has a history of developing congestion areas prior to each new advancing thrust
  • The daily graph completed a 12-month symmetrical triangle in August. The October break in Gold simply retested the upper boundary of this triangle. This retest appears to be over — and the next advancing trend in Gold has likely begun. Only a close below the November low on the daily chart would cause me to rethink this interpretation.
The Gold/CHF ratio has a target of CHF 1,800.

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